Open Access

Table 1

World-wide scenarios of cumulative solar photovoltaic electrical capacities until 2040.

Year 2021 [GW] 2025 [GW] 2030 [GW] 2040 [GW]
Actual Installations 953
Greenpeace (advanced [r]evolution scenario) 2000 3725 6678
LUT 100% RES Power 2017 3513 6980 13 805
LUT 100% Energy 2019 1628 12 951 30 531
BNEF NEO 2020 1534 2382 5009
IRENA 2019 reference case* 1020 2017 3122
IRENA 2019 REmap case* 1358 3151 5761
IEA Stated Policy Scenario 2021** 1365 2550 4516
IEA Sustainable Development Scenario** 2021 1630 3582 7421
IEA NZE Scenario** 2021 1916 4956 10 980

*2025 values are interpolated, as only 2016, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

**2025 value is interpolated, as only 2020, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

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