Open Access

Table 1

World-wide scenarios of cumulative solar photovoltaic electrical capacities until 2040. With the exception of the LUT scenarios the future projections are AC capacity.

Year 2023 [GWp] 2025 [GW] 2030 [GW] 2040 [GW]
Actual Installations 1 608      
Greenpeace (advanced [r]evolution scenario)   2 000 3 725 6 678
LUT 100% RES Power 2017   3 513 6 980 13 805
LUT 100% Energy 2019   3 528 12 951 30 531
BNEF NEO 2020   1 534 2 382 5 009
IRENA 2023*   2 002 5 643 9 005
IEA Stated Policy Scenario 2023**   1 945 4 699 9 500
IEA NZE Scenario** 2021   1 916 4 956 10 980
IEA NZE Scenario** 2023   2 150 6 101 14 303
*

2025 and 2040 values are interpolated, as only 2020, 2030 and 2050 values are given.

**

2025 value is interpolated, as only 2022, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

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