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All issues Volume 12 (2021) EPJ Photovolt., 12 (2021) 2 Full HTML
Open Access

Table 1

World-wide scenarios of cumulative solar photovoltaic electrical capacities until 2040.

Year 2020 (GW) 2025 (GW) 2030 (GW) 2040 (GW)
Actual installations 773      
Greenpeace (advanced [r] evolution scenario) 844 2000 3725 6678
LUT 100% RES Power 2017 1168 3513 6980 13805
LUT 100% Energy 2019 1097 1628 12951 30531
BNEF NEO 2020 772 1534 2382 5009
IRENA 2019 reference case* 514 1020 2017 3122
IRENA 2019 REmap case* 583 1358 3151 5761
IEA New Policy Scenario 2016 481 715 949 1405
IEA 450 ppm Scenario 2016** 517 814 1278 2108
IEA Stated Policy Scenario 2020*** 687 1319 2019 3665
IEA Sustainable Development Scenario 2020**** 721 1774 3125 5891

*2020 and 2025 values are interpolated, as only 2016, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

**2025 value is interpolated, as only 2020, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

***2020 value is interpolated, as only 2018, 2025, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

****2020 values are interpolated, as only 2019, 2025, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

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