Open Access

Table 1

World-wide scenarios of cumulative solar photovoltaic electrical capacities until 2040. With the exception of the LUT scenarios the future projections are AC capacity.

Year 2022
[GWp]
2025
[GW]
2030
[GW]
2040
[GW]
Actual Installations 1185      
Greenpeace (advanced [r]evolution scenario)   2000 3725 6678
LUT 100% RES Power 2017   3513 6980 13,805
LUT 100% Energy 2019   3528 12 951 30,531
BNEF NEO 2020   1534 2382 5009
IRENA 2019 reference case*   1020 2017 3122
IRENA 2019 REmap case*   1358 3151 5761
IEA Stated Policy Scenario 2022**   1491 3020 5573
IEA NZE Scenario ** 2021   1916 4956 10,980
IEA NZE Scenario ** 2022   1938 5052 11,620
*

2025 values are interpolated, as only 2016, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

**

2025 value is interpolated, as only 2020, 2030 and 2040 values are given.

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